XAUUSD Weekly Analysis 02/15/2025

Fundamental analysis

1. Overview of Momentum and Market Structure

• Current Momentum: Bullish

• Previous Week’s Performance: Bullish

• Range: 2852 – 2942

• Expectations: Price is expected to continue bullish within the given range, targeting higher liquidity levels.

Trading Plan

For Short Positions

Strategy:

Monitor price action at resistance levels for potential rejection signs:

• 2917 (H4 FVG)

• 2929 (H4 FVG)

• 2942 (Extreme Liquidity)

Sell Targets:

• 2864 (H4 Liquidity)

• 2861 (Weekly Open)

• 2852 (Extreme Liquidity)

• 2817 (Weekly FVG)

Bias Change:

• A clean break below 2852 will shift bias to bearish, with further downside potential.

Bullish Bias

Strategy:

Monitor for buying opportunities above key liquidity zones:

• 2864 (H4 Liquidity)

• 2861 (Weekly Open)

Primary Targets:

• 2905 (SR Level)

• 2917 (H4 FVG)

• 2929 (H4 FVG)

• 2942 (Extreme Liquidity)

Summary

• Bullish bias remains valid above 2852, with primary targets around 2905 – 2942.

• Short opportunities could arise at major resistance levels with rejection patterns.

• A break below 2852 would signal a trend shift to bearish.

• Risk management is key—watch for liquidity grabs and reversal patterns.

Technical analysis

Gold Hits Record Highs Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty

Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rally, setting a new all-time high above $2,940 as safe-haven demand remains strong. With no high-impact economic data scheduled, geopolitical developments and US trade policies will drive market sentiment.

The latest US inflation data showed CPI rising to 3%, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain current interest rates. Meanwhile, easing tensions between the US and Russia briefly pressured gold prices before renewed USD weakness fueled another rebound.

Traders will watch political headlines and global risk sentiment for further cues on gold’s next move.