USDCHF Weekly Analysis 03/01/2025
Satheesh Gobi
3/2/2025
USDCHF Weekly Fundamental analysis
1. Overview of Momentum and Market Structure
Current Momentum: Bullish
Previous Week’s Performance: Bullish
Range: 0.8911 – 0.9035
Expectations: Price is expected to move higher, targeting key liquidity zones and fair value gaps (FVGs).
Trading Plan
For Short Positions
Strategy:
Look for short opportunities at strong resistance zones for possible reversals:
0.9101 (Daily FVG - Key Resistance Zone for Potential Sell-off)
0.9154 (Daily Liquidity - Major Liquidity Pool & Institutional Sell Zone)
Sell Targets:
0.8911 (Liquidity Pool - Key Demand Zone for a Retest)
0.8963 (Daily FVG - Possible Retest Zone Before Another Leg Up)
0.8952 (H4 FVG - Institutional Buy Zone & Fair Value Gap Support)
Bullish Bias
Strategy:
Look for long positions at strong demand and liquidity levels:
Buy Levels:
0.8963 (Daily FVG - Key Demand & Institutional Buy Zone)
0.8952 (H4 FVG - Fair Value Gap for Bullish Continuation)
0.8924 (H4 Liquidity - Major Liquidity Pool & Potential Reversal Area)
Primary Targets:
0.9035 (Extreme Liquidity - First Major Target)
0.9054 (H4 Liquidity - Possible Profit-Taking Zone)
0.9101 (Daily FVG - Extended Bullish Target & Resistance Zone)
0.9154 (Daily Liquidity - Strong Supply Zone & Potential Reversal Area)
Summary
Bullish sentiment with long setups at 0.8963, 0.8952, and 0.8924, targeting 0.9035, 0.9054, 0.9101, and 0.9154.
Short opportunities at 0.9101 and 0.9154, targeting 0.8963 and 0.8911.
Monitor price action near liquidity levels and FVG reactions before entering trades.
Technical analysis
USD/CHF extends its three-day winning streak, trading around 0.9030 as the US Dollar finds modest support. However, rising global trade tensions—fueled by US President Donald Trump’s tariff hikes on Canadian and Mexican imports—could strengthen demand for the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF), limiting the pair’s upside.
Meanwhile, weak US economic data adds to speculation of at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2024. US consumer confidence dropped sharply to 98.3 in February, while new home sales plunged 10.5% in January. With the US Core PCE Price Index meeting expectations at 0.3% MoM, traders remain cautious, keeping USD/CHF in a tight range.