EURUSD Weekly Analysis 02/15/2025

Fundamental analysis

1. Overview of Momentum and Market Structure

• Current Momentum: Bullish

• Previous Week’s Performance: Bullish

• Range: 1.0282 – 1.0513

• Expectations: Price is expected to continue bullish within the given range, targeting higher liquidity levels.

Trading Plan

For Short Positions

Strategy:

Monitor price action at resistance levels for potential rejection signs:

• 1.0532 (Daily Liquidity)

• 1.0629 (Daily Liquidity)

• 1.0682 (Weekly FVG)

Sell Targets:

• 1.0445 (Daily FVG)

• 1.0429 (Daily FVG)

• 1.0372 (H4 Liquidity)

• 1.0316 (H4 Liquidity)

Bullish Bias

Strategy:

Monitor for buying opportunities above key liquidity zones:

• 1.0372 (H4 Liquidity)

• 1.0316 (H4 Liquidity)

Primary Targets:

• 1.0513 (Extreme Liquidity)

• 1.0532 (Daily Liquidity)

• 1.0629 (Daily Liquidity)

• 1.0682 (Weekly FVG)

Summary

• Bullish bias remains valid above 1.0316, with primary targets around 1.0513 – 1.0682.

• Short opportunities could arise at major resistance levels with rejection patterns.

• A clean break below 1.0282 would shift bias to bearish.

• Risk management is key—watch for liquidity grabs and reversal patterns.

Technical analysis

EUR/USD Gains as Markets React to Trump’s Trade Policy

EUR/USD initially dipped on Thursday after US President Donald Trump hinted at new reciprocal tariffs but rebounded sharply as he refrained from immediate action, easing market concerns. The USD weakened as risk appetite improved, allowing the euro to recover.

Meanwhile, White House trade advisers criticized EU trade policies, signaling potential future tensions. Meanwhile, US Retail Sales data showed a weaker than expected result,its impact on the USD was limited as market focus remained on trade policy developments.