BTCUSD Weekly Analysis 02/24/2025

Satheesh Gobi

2/24/2025

Fundamental analysis

1. Overview of Momentum and Market Structure

  • Current Momentum: Bearish

  • Previous Weekly Candle: Pin Bar

  • Range: 99,508 – 94,805

  • Expectations: Price is likely to move lower towards key liquidity and demand zones before potential reversals.

Trading Plan

For Long Positions

Strategy:
Look for buy opportunities at key demand and liquidity zones:

  • Buy Levels:

    • 91,530 (Daily Liquidity - Major Support & Potential Reversal Zone)

    • 89,164 (Daily Liquidity - Strong Institutional Demand Area)

    • 29,42 (ATH - Key Psychological Level)

    • 29,57 (Extension - Potential Long-Term Target)

Buy Targets:

  • 94,805 (Extreme Liquidity - Short-Term Reversal Zone)

  • 96,967 (H4 Liquidity - First Upside Target)

  • 97,172 (H4 FVG - Second Upside Target)

  • 98,211 (H4 OB - Final Upside Target & Major Resistance)

Bearish Bias

Strategy:
Look for sell opportunities at strong resistance and liquidity zones:

  • 98,211 (H4 OB - Key Resistance & Sell Opportunity)

  • 97,172 (H4 FVG - Possible Rejection Zone for Shorts)

  • 96,967 (H4 Liquidity - Short-Term Liquidity Grab & Reversal Zone)

Primary Targets:

  • 94,805 (Extreme Liquidity - Major Bearish Target for Price Sweep)

  • 93,340 (Daily Liquidity - High Volume Demand Zone)

  • 91,530 (Daily Liquidity - Strong Demand Area for Reversals)

  • 89,164 (Daily Liquidity - Deep Liquidity Grab & Final Target)

Summary

  • Bearish momentum remains valid below 98,211, targeting 94,805, 93,340, 91,530, and 89,164.

  • Short setups become valid near 96,967, 97,172, and 98,211 for potential reversals.

  • Buy setups become valid around 91,530 and 89,164 for potential upside movements.

  • Monitor price action at liquidity and FVG zones for confirmation.

Technical analysis

Bitcoin remains in a consolidation phase between $94,000 and $100,000, currently hovering around $98,000. Institutional demand appears to be weakening, with US Bitcoin spot ETFs recording a net outflow of $489.6 million this week, following $580.2 million last week. CryptoQuant warns that without improved liquidity and demand, BTC could correct toward $86,000. Additionally, FTX’s ongoing customer repayments have introduced further volatility, as the bankrupt exchange begins distributing funds, totaling up to $16.5 billion. Traders remain cautious, watching for potential downside risks.